Saints vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFL Week 4

Nov 26, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs with the ball against the New Orleans Saints  during the first quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
Nov 26, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) runs with the ball against the New Orleans Saints during the first quarter at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images / Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

It's been an interesting start to the season in the NFC South. The New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have got off to a 2-1 start while the Atlanta Falcons are 1-2, but have had a tough start to their season with games against both the Eagles and Chiefs.

We'll get a better idea of how this division will shake up this weekend when the Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints meet up in a rivalry showdown on Sunday.

Let's take a look at the odds for the game and then I'll break down my best bet.

Saints vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, and Total

Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook

Spread

  • Saints +1.5 (-110)
  • Falcons -1.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Saints +102
  • Falcons -120

Total

  • OVER 42.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 42.5 (-110)

Saints vs. Falcons How to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, Sept. 29
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. EST
  • Falcons -1.5 -110
  • How to Watch (TV): FOX
  • Saints record: 2-1
  • Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games

Saints vs. Falcons Betting Trends

  • Iain's bets here
  • Taysom Hill, TE - Questionable
  • Falcons -1.5 -110
  • The UNDER is 10-2 in the Saints' last 12 games vs. NFC South opponents
  • A.T. Perry, WR - Questionable
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in the Falcons' last seven games
  • Falcons are 1-5 straight up in their last six home games vs. Saints

Saints vs. Falcons Injury Reports

Saints Injury Report

  • You can check out all of
  • UNDER 42.5 -110
  • D'Marco Jackson, LB - Questionable
  • Taysom Hill, TE - Questionable
  • Erik McCoy, C - Questionable

Falcons Injury Report

  • Kaleb McGary, OT - Questionable
  • Drew Dalman, C - Questionable

Saints vs. Falcons Key Players to Watch

New Orleans Saints

Rashid Shaheed: The difference between the Saints' two wins to start the year and their loss to the Eagles last week was their inability to get Rashid Shaheed involved in the game. He was held to zero receptions on five targets. He serves as the Saints' deep threat with the ability to take the top off the opposing defense. If he can't do that, the explosiveness of this Saints offense goes away.

Atlanta Falcons

Kirk Cousins: The key to this Falcons offense is clearly Kirk Cousins and the good news for Atlanta fans is he's looked better in every start so far this season. If he takes another step forward in Week 4, the Falcons are going to be a dangerous unit on the offensive side of the football.

Saints vs. Falcons Prediction and Pick

I'm backing the Falcons to win and cover as short favorites this week. I broke down why in this week's edition of the "Sep 24, 2024":

The Falcons may be 1-2, but they've looked impressive the past two weeks against the Eagles and Chiefs. In fact, despite the tough schedule, they're seventh in the NFL in Net Yards per Play at +0.8, 0.2 yards better than the Saints who have had the benefit of playing the Panthers in Week 1.

The Saints' defense hasn't been as good as some think, ranking just 18th in opponent yards per play while allowing the Eagles to average 6.9 yards per snap.

Before the season began, the market had the Falcons pegged as the superior team, yet based on the line for this Week 4 game, the Saints would be a slight favorite on a neutral field. Not enough has happened this season to convince me we should start looking at New Orleans as the better team.

Pick: Falcons -1.5 (-110)


NFL Week 4 Betting Content

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A.T. Perry, WR - Questionable.

Erik McCoy, C - Questionable.

You can check out all of Saints record: 2-1!


Published
Iain MacMillan
IAIN MACMILLAN

Originally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VCheap Sneakersbe Jordan OutletN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.